TradeBotSecrets · research record
BTC Trading System Research
The full evidence record of an evolution-driven BTC trading research program: validated signals, falsified hypotheses (kept on the record, on purpose), live paper-trading, and a standing weekly experiment sweep. Every page below is generated from real run output — nothing hand-entered.
How to read this record: negative results outnumber positive ones by design —
roughly forty falsification tests established that price DIRECTION carries no exploitable structure at any
tested horizon, so the validated edges are reactive and structural: halving-cycle calendar timing, volatility
envelope sizing, funding carry, position management. The Edge Hunt page is the living experiment ledger
(FDR-disciplined); the Primitives Registry is the master index of every finding. This menu regenerates
automatically whenever a new page is added.
Live
- Paper Trading LiveAUTO-REFRESHED HOURLY2026-10-25
- Edge HuntAUTO-REFRESHED WEEKLY2026-10-19
- DCA Continual Paper DashboardPAPER LOOP AUTO-REFRESHED2026-09-27
Registry & System
- Depth vs Width2026-08-21
- Primitives Registry — BTC Trading System2026-08-19
Strategy Replays
- Tail Cap Forward Replay2026-08-19
- Maker/Taker Holdout Replay2026-08-16
- DCA Ladder Replay — BTC Trading System2026-08-09
- Race BTC Simulation — BTC Trading System2026-08-09
- Halving-Cycle Strategy Replay — BTC Trading System2026-08-05
- Multi-Timeframe Fusion Replay — BTC Trading System2026-08-05
- Candle Road Order Selector Replay — BTC Trading System2026-08-05
- Candle Road Replay — BTC Trading System2026-08-05
- Holdout Timeline — Entry Primitives + DCA + Exit2026-08-05
- Blind Driver Replay — BTC Trading System2026-08-04
Research Checks
- Cycle Timing & Drawdown Deceleration Check2026-08-30
- Bitcoin Cycle Top and Bottom Model - 1064 Days Up, 364 Days Down2026-08-29
- Candle Shape Catalog — BTC2026-08-28
- Oscillator Substrate — Live Trace2026-08-28
- Damped Wave Horizon Check2026-08-27
- Triangle Wedge Breakouts2026-08-19
- Prony Price Model Check2026-08-19
- Damped Wave Horizon Check2026-08-19
- Debugging the Equation-of-Motion Forecast2026-08-05
- Multiscale Oscillator — Direction vs. Volatility2026-08-05
Research
- Carry + Halving Paper Proving2026-10-25
- Primitive Selector — Daily BTC2026-08-28
- Depth vs Width2026-08-28
- Race BTC Simulation — BTC Trading System2026-08-28
built 2026-10-25 12:10 UTC · 29 pages · generated by scripts/build_research_site_v1.py · deployed via Cloudflare Pages