⌂ Research Index · tradebotsecrets research record · evidence-first, negatives included
Race BTC Simulation — BTC Trading System

Synthetic BTC-shaped race track · lookback + feedback, genuinely blind to the future

Race BTC Simulation

The race car is back, reframed: x is never steerable at all now — every genome moves right at the exact same fixed pace as the real road, every step, like time on a price chart. Only y ever moves, exactly like an open/close price. The 5 tracks below are the same named primitives from the earlier race-track work, unchanged, now read directly as BTC shapes — sweeps are trend, S-curve is a real single reversal (a top or a bottom), the zigzags are chop. Pick a tab, hit Play. The car never sees turns[t] before deciding that step — only real turns strictly before it.

Speed
Press Play or drag the scrubber to begin.
Real road (the synthetic BTC-shaped track)
On-track margin (5% of the track's own vertical range)
Combined (lookback + feedback), on-track
Combined, off-track
Feedback-only (no lookback)
No-correction baseline (never steers)
Real structural turn (a top or bottom, S-curve only)

This track

Steps revealed
Real road value
Combined car value
This track: combined
This track: feedback-only
This track: no-correction

Full holdout (200 tracks/pattern)

Aggregate numbers from the actual training run, not just the one track shown above.

Combined, overall
Feedback-only, overall
No-correction floor
PatternCombinedFeedback-only